over the barrel of peak oil

Thursday, May 21, 2009

the big picture

See The New Republic's piece about Dr. Doom
"A financial crisis needs general thinking, and a team of specialists will have difficulty understanding the whole thing," he says. "Nouriel's approach has always been worldwide, which is not rewarded in academia. "
and
Roubini has traveled from the Jeremiah wilderness, ...
The peak oil thesis is simple and stark:
  1. oil has unique qualities as a material and as an energy source
  2. created eons ago, there's a finite supply of oil
  3. modern civilization, the world economy and 6 billion people greatly depend on abundant oil
  4. we're rapidly using up that oil (80 million barrels a day, including 20 million by the U.S.)
  5. we're past the peak of what oil we are able to extract globally each year
  6. we will not find a substitute for oil in time to avert an irreversible global economic decline
  7. we may now be witnessing the start of that decline
  8. the decline will be steep and chaotic
  9. the decline will result in billions of deaths
Did I say anything about global warming in this? Answer - no, 'cause it's irrelevant.

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